Smartphone cameras have reached a plateau, so I asked the experts what new innovations are on the horizon. While other aspects of phones, like AI, continue to improve, there's only so much room for lenses and megapixels in today's models. Even the best camera phones are struggling to make yearly advancements. For instance, the Galaxy S25 Ultra features the same 200MP megapixel rating as the Galaxy S23 Ultra, despite Samsung's efforts to boost pixel size for the S24 Ultra. Next year's Galaxy S26 Ultra is unlikely to introduce significant changes to the main camera, with Samsung focusing more on AI-backed improvements. However, camera phones are mature products, leaving limited room for change. But that doesn't mean hardware improvements aren't possible. Why camera hardware changes matter? Hardware is just part of the story when it comes to camera phone performance. Algorithms and photo processing also play a crucial role in image quality. While upgraded hardware can enhance the output, photo processing can only improve what the hardware can capture. For example, a larger sensor captures more light, allowing AI to work with better dynamic range. Faster lenses produce brighter images, while better optics reduce distortions that AI must fix. AI can stretch camera limits, but it can't change physics. The dynamic range of a camera phone is limited by the sensor's full well capacity, which determines pixel saturation. Low-light performance depends on pixel size and sensor area, which photo processing can partially address but not fully. The experts weigh in on the future of camera innovation. Mark Gurman from Bloomberg suggests improved telephoto lenses with higher zoom capabilities, ensuring quality without degradation. He envisions bending physics to allow more light into lenses despite shrinking form factors and redesigning cameras for smart glasses and AI wearables. Avi Greengart, president of Techspotential, agrees that smartphone imaging is mature, with a focus on computational photography improvements rather than hardware. Sensors, optics, camera arrays, and signal processing silicon are areas of potential innovation, with some improvements aimed at thinner camera bumps, more telephoto distance, and enhanced light and color capture. Greengart predicts hardware changes to leverage increasing power and AI capabilities from Qualcomm, MediaTek, and Apple. A bright future awaits, but when? The ideas are intriguing, but the future of camera improvements is uncertain. AI features are in their early stages, offering more innovation opportunities compared to mature camera hardware. As a result, phone manufacturers will prioritize AI and image processing. However, experts like Gurman and Greengart believe there's still room for camera hardware improvements. Let's hear your thoughts! What camera enhancements do you want to see in future phones? Follow Tom's Guide for the latest news, analysis, and reviews. Check out our deals on smartphones, including Apple, Google, and Samsung models with various storage and color options. Our reviews cover a range of devices, from new releases to refurbished models.